Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 1.014877 1.230850 1.460595 1.721220 2.006804 2.308515 2.649689
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.772564 1.075030 1.420009 1.834325 2.310872 2.835208 3.449407
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.649771 0.998249 1.415192 1.934424 2.549188 3.241364 4.067843
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.529972 0.903600 1.372789 1.977576 2.712708 3.557277 4.582283
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.424604 0.807150 1.311367 1.982786 2.818524 3.795772 4.998411
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.317626 0.689488 1.208021 1.923469 2.836433 3.923283 5.279379
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.233570 0.588545 1.114070 1.865209 2.846653 4.034503 5.535181
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.174510 0.514004 1.047179 1.834455 2.884869 4.174417 5.820787
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.141087 0.476168 1.028647 1.865295 2.999245 4.405959 6.215594
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.109236 0.433202 0.997212 1.874456 3.082738 4.597499 6.560877
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.076819 0.378631 0.941102 1.843845 3.110204 4.716446 6.815692
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.072386 0.387130 0.988020 1.962698 3.338241 5.089613 7.384634
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.065462 0.390425 1.030375 2.082273 3.577893 5.491032 8.006182
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.058551 0.392228 1.070461 2.199997 3.817695 5.896311 8.637531
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.052267 0.393529 1.108586 2.314090 4.052134 6.294547 9.260141
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.039992 0.371602 1.103018 2.360807 4.193609 6.573614 9.735143
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.026859 0.338257 1.072682 2.366974 4.277284 6.777081 10.115117
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.013017 0.285808 0.999175 2.301100 4.257002 6.843315 10.321172
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.004700 0.239340 0.929782 2.236505 4.234690 6.904080 10.518089
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001164 0.206046 0.881785 2.202329 4.252290 7.014335 10.774786
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000262 0.192462 0.875463 2.236589 4.368562 7.255535 11.198904
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.174316 0.855827 2.246758 4.448783 7.448264 11.560967
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.148239 0.812183 2.212765 4.462132 7.550188 11.805646